Written by Teddie21, on 20-03-2008 23:39
Hi Borko,
Firstly, thanks for questions like these, you have all the rights in the world to ask, and I'd be a mug not to answer, especially that we aim a paid service. So here we go:
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your all stakes are 8 units.
What percent is it (8 units) of your bank?
I'm gonna be honest. 8 units is around 2% from my bank, sometimes can be a bit more, sometimes it can be a bit less, it all depends on how the size of the bank varies. But, I would strongly recommend not more than 1%/bet for BIG banks, or for banks you can't afford to lose. And of course it's your hit rate that plays its role, I mean, if you bet on horses obviosly you won't stake 2-3% that would be suicidal, for football (odde above 2.00 = probability >50%) should be ok.
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What does mean for you when you lost 22 units?
How many units you can lost in row(in other word, how many lost units you would survive)?
When I lose 22 units I lose like up to 6%% of bank. If you do the same you should easily get trhough these ups and downs not being worried a bit about today's or this week's results, as if you're sure you have an edge the period will be followed by a good moment, when you'll bounce back as the saying goes.
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Do you realize your mistake, wrong pick=followers lost money ?
I know, you had good, excellent picks before it. Therefore I follow you. But last days, weeks picks seems like rouletta, seems like revenge bet.
We can't talk about any chasing, it's a simple coincidence that I had some many bets of late, I never was and never be the type who bets just for the sake of having a bet today, ot just for having some fun. Beleive me, after so many years spent on all kind of tipping sites, do you think I'd tarnsih my name with such amateurish behavior? I'd be a fool if I would.
When I take a bet, I TAKE it. NO chasing, NO revenge. And I'm strong enough mentally to withstand to all kind of temptations. I know what roulette is on my own, and never thought to apply my old roulette strategies (which are shit btw) on betting.
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Do you play yourself your latest picks with real money? Or do you just public for followers?
You know, sometimes I don't even take a bet myself if I don't post it online, just from fair that I am. When we win, we're all happy, when you lose, I share your feeling cause I lost too.
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Nothing in bad, just I don't understand what's happen with your picks. I don't expect You and we win every single day. But OTOH, I didn't expect so many lost picks in row.
I'm like -40 units this month, that's TERRIBLE in my eyes, AWFUL handicapping, especially that I have high expectations, and recently don't even sleep during the night having my thoughts at the weekend.
Will things improve? Knowing me from my past experiences I can say yes, and it's going to happen soon, but should I promiss that? I don't know, I'm sure there'll be people who'll heavily react on my first pick lost from now on, and I wouldn't like to against any lay of probability either. What I can promiss is: do my homework, try even harder (it's called added-motivation), and make profit on the long term, not short, even though I'm always doing my best to stay steady, that's one of the biggest qualities of a punter.
See you on Saturday guys |
