ATP Tuesday +6.15 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Grzegorz   
Tuesday, 13 May 2008

denisgremelmayr.jpg Denis Gremelmayr - Ilija Bozoljac & Roko Karanusic - Franko Skugor & Oscar Hernandez - Tobias Kamke & Ivan Miranda - Conor Niland

Today card for Hamburg tournament, which is biggest this week, is poor without any doubts, so I'll try to make advantage of huge offer in challengers as first rounds are predictable there I think and three first days in week are the best to bet on tennis without any doubts. Overal odd @ 3.05 in here looks really big, but I'm quite confident about it and three units are only because of challenger level, which is always hard to predict for even the best experts.

First game is the easiest in my view because Gremelmayr is in amazing form these days and he's above challenger level by far at the moment, so such first rounds ought to be a walk for him. He reached two semifinals in a row in two ATP tournaments, beating for example Nicolas Almagro (62 36 76), James Blake (61 64) or Jarkko Nieminen (36 61 62), so such opponent shouldn't be a problem for him as he even won a set against Roger Federer (62 57 16)! On the other hand Bozolac is really poor on claycourts, having 7-12 in last two years. Also he lost last three out of four games, with mediocre players so I can't give him any chances. Denis is also leading 2-0 in h2h, so it's easy to predict a winner. Of course @ 1.25 isn't the best price, especially on challengers, but it's a 'banker' for me. Match is in Zagreb.

Second game is also quite easy as Karanusic is really solid player on such level, especially on clay, where he's in quite good form, of course if we're talking about challengers, on ATP level he's pathetic. Claycourts rather suits him I think and I'm sure he's class above opponent. Skugor is mediocre player even in here, he's totaly unexperienced as he played only twenty one matches on clay in whole career and I can say he likes more hard than clay, but no matter what he likes - he's poor player and can't stand a chance against Roko. Maybe @ 1.29 is also not the best, but for such parlays it's fair for me. Match is in Zagreb.

Third game is quite risky but I'll trust more experience player, who is just much, much better in overal view. Hernandez is out of form and that's a fact, but still he's in top three challenger players on clay and that's a fact as he had many great matches on ATP level in past. In Houston he reached semifinals, so I can say he ought to back to form, especially before Roland Garros, which is his target now. Kamke is of course solid player, but still much worse than Oscar and he's rather really poor on this surface, even tough he lead 1-0 in h2h against Spaniard, winning on clay! It would be dangerous, but I think that @ 1.38 has value at all. Match is in is in Aarhus

Last bet isn't in Europe and clay isn't such slow in here, but also players are quite different so I think this bet is also good in here. Miranda is typical solid challenger player, maybe without successes and great games, but he's consistent on such level and in good form, winning last challenger on clay in Tunica, after few nice matches, for example against Wayne Odesnik (63 16 61). Earlier he reached also final in Humacao and won in Salinas, so his form is really good. He's more hardcourter than claycourter, but on such surface like in here, he ought to be tough opponent. Niland is just pathetic player, without any experience, he played only thirty nine games in whole career, on clay he's poor with 1-6 overal balance in career, so he can't stand a chance against Ivan. He didn't pass second round in last ten tournaments in a row, so it's a great price - @ 1.37 on him. Match is in Bradenton.

3 units* Denis Gremelmayr & Roko Karanusic & Oscar Hernandez & Ivan Miranda @ 3.05 at 5Dimes 

PICK WON

+6.15

Last Updated ( Tuesday, 20 May 2008 )
 
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