
Leonardo Bonucci (C) of Bari celebrates the opening goal uring the Serie A match between Bari and Palermo at Stadio San Nicola on January 30, 2010 in Bari, Italy.
The reason of the bet is Bari. Atalanta are struggling for points, and generally speaking they've been average in defence as well as in attack, so they are not the reason here. Bari instead are still thought to be tough at the back which is only on the paper, because in fact they've been really poor in defence, allowing a lot of chances (goals) especially on the road. For Sunday they will miss their best defender - Ranocchia, as well as Parisi (imp. defender), so they will probably start with A. Masiello (average), Diamoutene (very poor), Bonucci (average), and S. Masiello (he's not even defender). They have Barreto up front instead and the guy's scored 11 goals this season, so the chances are they will not be struggling offensively. Atalanta have been a lot of times dominated at home so they are no longer so tough as they used to be last season, therefore I can easily see them allowing as well as scoring.
Probable Lineup (4-4-1-1): Consigli, Garics, Talamonti, Manfredini, Bellini; Ferreira Pinto, Padoin, Caserta, Valdes; Doni; Amoruso
Probable Lineup (4-4-2): Gillet, A. Masiello, Diamoutene, Bonucci, S. Masiello; Alvarez, Gazzi, Donati, Allegretti; Meggiorini, Barreto
Bet: Over 2.5 at 2.15
Teddie
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